The Take How close are Iran and Israel to full-scale war?
Jun 16, 2025
Narges Bajoghli, a Professor of Middle East Studies at Johns Hopkins University, dives into the escalating conflict between Iran and Israel. She discusses Iran's military advancements and retaliatory strikes, highlighting the reactions within Tehran amid growing panic. The conversation explores Iran's geopolitical strategies, including potential disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, and how the media narratives are shifting around the conflict. Additionally, Bajoghli sheds light on the complex relationships and diplomatic challenges influencing regional stability.
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Escalation to Full-Scale War
- Iran is currently engaged in an unprecedented direct conflict with Israel, beyond the years of shadow warfare.
- Iran views Israel's attacks as an all-out war, responding with significant missile strikes against Israeli cities and military targets.
Iran's War Preparation and Perception
- Iran is testing older missiles while preparing for a prolonged conflict with Israel.
- Iran perceives Israeli attacks as attempts at state collapse, not merely regime change, indicating a war for survival.
Strait of Hormuz as Strategic Leverage
- Iran’s threat to close the Strait of Hormuz is a serious strategic warning but also a measured act to avoid escalating global crisis immediately.
- Iran attempts to avoid reinforcing the image of 'crazed Muslim terrorists' despite the conflict's intensity.