Pierfrancesco Manenti, Gartner's research vice president for supply chain strategy, shares his expertise in future trends impacting supply chains. He discusses the importance of scenario modeling and the challenges posed by AI advancements, ESG regulations, and geopolitical tensions. Listeners learn about essential capabilities for chief supply chain officers and explore four strategic pathways—design, durability, deferment, and decision—to achieve long-term success. Manenti emphasizes the need for strategic transformation and digitalization in a rapidly changing landscape.
Advancements in artificial intelligence, ESG regulations, and geopolitical tensions will drive significant changes in supply chains over the next five years.
Organizations can adopt distinct investment profiles like Design, Durability, Deferment, and Decision to navigate future supply chain complexities effectively.
Deep dives
Drivers Shaping Future Supply Chain Research
Several key drivers will significantly influence supply chains over the next three to five years, including advancements in artificial intelligence (AI), increasing environmental, social, and governance (ESG) regulations, and geopolitical tensions. The findings indicate that organizations must prepare for scenarios such as the emergence of closed trade blocks and limited government-controlled data access. Additionally, the persistent scarcity of skilled talent remains a critical challenge for supply chain leaders. Understanding these drivers allows organizations to develop the necessary capabilities needed to navigate future supply chain complexities.
Investment Profiles for Effective Supply Chain Strategies
Research has identified four distinct investment profiles for organizations aiming to succeed under future scenarios: Design, Durability, Deferment, and Decision. Each profile reflects varying degrees of emphasis on capabilities such as sustainability, technology, and adaptability. For example, organizations in the Design profile prioritize business model innovation and are more inclined to create tailored supply chain strategies to meet diverse customer needs. This differentiation highlights that there is no singular pathway to success; leaders can find success through different strategic focuses.
The Importance of the Design Profile
The Design profile stands out as the most favorable pathway for Chief Supply Chain Officers (CSCOs), particularly those uncertain about their current strategy. Organizations operating under this profile are characterized by their focus on developing business model innovation capabilities ahead of technology or sustainability investments. A notable example of a company embracing this profile is Johnson & Johnson, which employs a robust product segmentation strategy complemented by investments in digital twin technology for enhanced supply chain alignment. This approach enables organizations to address dynamic market conditions while fostering innovation and operational efficiency.
Drivers that made this year’s Future of Supply Chain Report different. (1:04)
Capabilities CSCOs are pursuing to prepare for the future. (3:24)
The multiple pathways to success that organizations can take. (7:07)
How CSCOs can choose the best pathway for their organization. (15:16)
Advice for CSCOs preparing their supply chains for the future. (16:31)
In this episode of the Supply Chain Podcast, host Lindsay Azim sits down with Pierfrancesco (Pier) Manenti, Gartner research vice president for supply chain strategy, to discuss Gartner’s yearly Future of Supply Chain Executive Report. As lead author of the report, Pier discusses how this year’s report — Supply Chain Executive Report: Future of Supply Chain 2025 — focuses on the capabilities chief supply chain officers can pursue to meet the future it outlines. Lindsay and Pier explore the various pathways organizations can take to build these capabilities before closing the show with recommendations for CSCOs pursuing those pathways.
About the Guest
Pierfrancesco (Pier) Manenti is research vice president for the Gartner supply chain strategy team. Pier provides insights and advisory support to chief supply chain officers (CSCOs) and heads of strategy of global manufacturing and retail corporations, especially with regards to future trends and key challenges affecting end-to-end supply chain strategy. He focuses on strategic transformation, digitalization, agility and design for profitability.
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