CNBC's "Fast Money" A September Slump Or Fall Fury?... And Options Strategy Ahead Of Earnings 8/29/25
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Aug 29, 2025 In this engaging discussion, guest Mike Coe, a seasoned analyst in market volatility and options strategies, dives into the recent stock fluctuations. He explores whether summer gains can sustain or if a September slump is imminent. Coe highlights critical insights on navigating upcoming earnings reports with options, while pondering the impact of recent legal disputes on the Federal Reserve's decisions. The conversation also digs into the turbulent crypto market, analyzing Bitcoin and Ethereum's wild shifts in the face of broader economic challenges.
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Rapid Rebound And Seasonal Pullback Risk
- The market bounced back unusually fast from April's sell-off, producing multi-month winning streaks in major indexes.
- Temporary weakness in September is likely but a renewed rally could resume by late October if rate-cut hopes stay intact.
Seasonality Skews Market Expectations
- September historically shows slightly worse average returns and higher volatility, with October and November also prone to big moves.
- Market averages are skewed by a few large pullbacks, so seasonal stats can exaggerate downside risk.
Rate Cut Odds Are Priced In
- Markets price in a high probability of a September rate cut, around 85% according to FedWatch.
- Strong payrolls could change Fed plans and quickly add volatility if data surprises to the upside.