
The Emerging Markets Podcast by Tellimer
Chief Economist Stuart Culverhouse and Joe Delvaux, Senior PM at Amundi, on sovereign default cases in Zambia, Ghana and Sri Lanka
Feb 6, 2024
Joe Delvaux, Senior Portfolio Manager of Amundi, and Chief Economist Stuart Culverhouse discuss sovereign default cases in Zambia, Ghana, and Sri Lanka. They explore paths to sustainable debt, China's role in restructuring, lessons from the Common Framework, ongoing bondholder negotiations, and more.
45:15
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Quick takeaways
- China's role is crucial in sovereign debt restructuring negotiations in emerging markets like Zambia, impacting the pace of resolution and stability.
- Sri Lanka's restructuring progress is hindered by limited communication between authorities and bondholders, requiring increased engagement and alignment of expectations.
Deep dives
Overview of Global Macro Context and Expectations for the Year Ahead
Last year saw a difficult year for emerging markets due to volatility in US rates. However, E.M. Bonds had a strong finish with a 12% total return in November and December. This year started weak with a -1% total return in January, despite record bond issuance. Distressed assets are outperforming and expectations for the year ahead are positive.
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