The Intelligence from The Economist One peace at a time: Gaza, Israel and Iran
Aug 15, 2024
Greg Karlstrom, Middle East correspondent, provides a gripping analysis of the ongoing Gaza conflict and the complexities of Iran's potential retaliations. He sheds light on peace talks in Doha and their implications for regional stability. Meanwhile, Oliver Morton, planetary affairs editor and author, reveals groundbreaking research suggesting Mars may hide an ocean’s worth of water beneath its surface, sparking excitement for future exploration. The discussion also touches on the challenges and opportunities facing vanilla farmers in Colombia amid rising global demand.
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Iran's Retaliation Delay
- Iran might be delaying retaliation against Israel, pending peace talk outcomes in Doha.
- These talks aim to establish a ceasefire in Gaza and potentially prevent a larger conflict.
Hamas's Absence from Talks
- Hamas is absent from the Doha talks, claiming nothing is left to negotiate after proposing a ceasefire.
- They cite a prior agreement and recent events like the school airstrike and Ismail Hania's assassination.
Iran's Calculated Retaliation
- Iran's potential retaliation for Hania's assassination seems inevitable but hasn't occurred.
- A successful ceasefire deal could offer Iran a way to avoid direct strikes on Israel.
