

It's a Numbers Game: The Numbers Behind Polling Data, Voter Registration Trends, and America’s Political Divide
5 snips Oct 2, 2025
Ryan explores the latest polling trends ahead of elections, dissecting the risks of a government shutdown and Senator Schumer's precarious position. He analyzes public sentiment on immigration and deportations, revealing a surprising majority in favor. New Jersey's elections come under the spotlight, highlighting a significant enthusiasm gap between parties. Looking forward, he assesses GOP prospects for 2026, discussing voter registration shifts and the effects of redistricting on House margins.
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Shutdowns Rarely Reward Authors
- Senate shutdown standoffs often harm the authors politically and rarely deliver long-term party benefits.
- Schumer appears motivated by legacy concerns as much as policy in the current budget fight.
Schumer's Leadership Crisis
- Chuck Schumer faces a leadership crisis as many Senate Democrats doubt his ability to lead and retake the majority.
- His low approval among Democrats signals intra-party pressure shaping budget fights and shutdown risks.
Public Support For Deportations
- New York Times-Siena polling shows a majority support deportations, cutting across several demographics.
- Immigration enforcement remains a major policy wedge with broad public backing despite media attacks.