The DOJ is investigating the Federal Reserve’s leadership, putting central bank independence under rare and intense scrutiny. This episode unpacks the AI crawler war between Google and publishers, Gemini’s rapid rise, China’s accelerating AI push, a slowing U.S. job market, and the intensifying legal battle between Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery.

🎯 WHAT YOU’LL LEARN

Fed independence is the real story. A criminal probe into the Fed chair lands amid growing political pressure on rate policy.
The web’s incentive structure is breaking. Bundling search and AI scraping forces publishers into a lose-lose choice.
Gemini’s momentum is accelerating. Recent data suggests competitive dynamics are shifting faster than expected.
AI strategies are diverging. World models, platform-owned models, and frontier labs are betting on different futures.
China remains central. Chips, models, diplomacy, and industrial policy are converging into one long-term contest.
Markets are cooling at the edges. Job growth is slowing and affordability politics are intensifying.

🔍 TIMESTAMPS

00:00 DOJ opens probe into the Federal Reserve and Powell responds

03:28 AI crawler war: Cloudflare, Google, and the breaking web model

05:02 Gemini gains share as ChatGPT slips

06:04 OpenAI acquisition rumors and the value of visual data

06:45 Copyright extraction risks and rising legal exposure

09:07 Yann LeCun’s new company and the world-model bet

10:39 Amazon’s Nova vs Claude and platform control tensions

12:08 DeepSeek’s next model and global adoption patterns

14:01 Nvidia, China, and export-control conflicts

16:30 Fentanyl cooperation and why diplomacy can work

18:29 Economy check: jobs slowdown and revisions

19:31 Credit card APR caps and housing investor limits

21:26 Paramount vs Warner Bros. Discovery escalation

22:42 World Food Prize and sustainable fertilizer innovation

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📚 SOURCES & DATA

- Fed Chair Jerome Powell Warns Against Politicizing Fed: https://youtu.be/KckGHaBLSn4?si=l2SizXDdyEcUQcIZ

- Cloudflare CEO Slams Google Web Monopoly: https://www.wired.com/story/big-interview-event-matthew-prince-cloudflare/

- AI Crawlers Taking Website Data: https://www.businessinsider.com/anthropic-openai-google-perplexity-microsoft-mistral-crawling-web-referrals-cloudflare-2026-1

- Google Gemini Gains Market Share ChatGPT Declines: https://www.searchenginejournal.com/google-gemini-gains-share-as-chatgpt-declines-in-similarweb-data/564690/

- Microsoft 2025 AI Adoption Report: https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/corporate-responsibility/topics/ai-economy-institute/reports/global-ai-adoption-2025/

- AI Models Extract Copyrighted Books Illegally: https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.02671

- AI World Models No Hallucinations: https://www.wired.com/story/ai-models-keep-learning-after-training-research/

- US - China AI Chips Gamble: https://youtu.be/UphXmFOYUU8

- DeepSeek Raises Questions: https://youtu.be/vvX5e9rtnIc

- AI Godfather Calls Out Meta Boss: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/05/ai-godfather-calls-meta-ai-boss-alexander-wang-inexperienced-.html

- OpenAI Pinterest Acquisition: https://www.tomsguide.com/ai/openai-may-buy-pinterest-and-it-could-change-how-we-search-shop-and-scroll

- Nvidia China H200 Chip Sales Blocked Again: https://thein.fo/49oJQce

- China Fentanyl Crackdown Cuts US Overdoses 34%: https://www.axios.com/2026/01/09/china-fentanyl-crackdown-overdose-deaths

- Banks Revolt Trump Pushes 10% Credit Card Cap: https://apnews.com/article/banks-trump-jamie-dimon-jpmorgan-credit-cards-bny-b4f31993a64c31687c91f17beab0a98a

- BLS December 2025 Jobs Report: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf

- Paramount Skydance Sue Warner Bros Discovery: https://variety.com/2026/tv/news/paramount-skydance-sues-warner-bros-discovery-netflix-deal-1236629324/

- World Food Prize 2025 Crop Innovation: https://www.worldfoodprize.org/en/laureates/20202025_laureates/2025_hungria/

Full list: https://youtu.be/5UMrTJxBwU0

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Oliver Polak x Anna Maria Mühe