The Grant Williams Podcast

The Grant Williams Podcast: Shifts Happen - Episode Eight FULL EPISODE

18 snips
Jul 17, 2024
Luke Gromen, an expert on the fiscal situation, discusses the implications for rates trading and predicts the industry's potential obsolescence. He emphasizes the need for a new benchmark like gold and explores the challenges posed by rising debt. The podcast also delves into potential outcomes of the fiscal situation, including retrenchment and nuclear escalation.
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INSIGHT

Hated by Rates Traders

  • Luke Gromen explains why rates traders dislike him: his predictions threaten their profession.
  • If his view on the fiscal situation is correct, rates trading could become obsolete.
INSIGHT

Policymakers' Dilemma

  • Policymakers either do not grasp the situation, refuse to acknowledge it, or are too committed to change course.
  • This is one of the three options for policymakers, given the evident numbers.
ANECDOTE

Vietnam War Supercomputer

  • The US military's supercomputer predicted a US victory in Vietnam in 1966, years before reality set in.
  • This highlights human difficulty in predicting exponential functions, relevant to current fiscal issues.
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