Sarah Longwell from The Bulwark discusses the GOP's reaction to Hunter's conviction, Trump's potential VP picks, and the impact on the Biden campaign. They also analyze therapy for celebrating wins, the intersection of abortion and economy in politics, local campaign organizing, and speculations on debate tactics and VP selection.
Focus on Trump may hinder traditional campaign efforts and state parties' effectiveness.
Deep dives
House of the Dragon Returns Amid Civil Strife in Westeros
House of the Dragon, the HBO original series, resumes with the royal line of succession of House Targaryen in question after the king's demise, stirring division within the house. The narrative delves into the choice between allegiance to the ruling monarchs, promising an engaging plot for viewers this season.
Hunter Biden's Conviction: A Political and Personal Perspective
Hunter Biden's conviction for falsifying information on a gun purchase and drug use surfaced as a significant political event, juxtaposed with the personal struggles of addiction. The verdict's impact varied among voters, with implications on the perceptions of justice and the political landscape.
Election Dynamics and Abortion Discourse in Nevada
In Nevada, contrasting positions on abortion emerge prominently in the Senate race as candidates navigate stances on reproductive rights. Senator Rosen's strategic use of abortion as a focal point sets the tone for a charged electoral battle, reflecting differing views among voters amidst critical policy debates.
Impact of Trump's Influence on Republican Turnout in Rural Areas
Trump's dominance within the Republican party, resulting in the local Republican apparatus depending heavily on him, may be leading to a lack of effective turnout efforts in rural areas. This situation potentially reflects a shift where Trump absorbs most of the resources and attention, causing local party structures to suffer. The speaker suggests that the focus on Trump could hinder traditional campaign efforts critical for election success, indicating a potential decline in the effectiveness of state parties.
Potential Shift in Voter Behavior Among Former Trump Supporters
Discussions on voters who previously supported Trump but are now disillusioned reveal a potential shift in the base composition towards more high-frequency voters. The increase in on-the-ground organizing and mobilization efforts after Trump's 2016 win has contributed to the presence of campaign machinery in various regions. This development may have a marginal impact in close races, indicating a change in voter profiles and campaign strategies influenced by post-2016 mobilization efforts.
Dan and The Bulwark’s Sarah Longwell break down the chaotic Republican response to the Hunter Biden news and what the conviction might mean for the Biden campaign, which of Donald Trump’s rumored VP picks scare them the most, and the latest from Tuesday’s primaries.
For a closed-captioned version of this episode, click here. For a transcript of this episode, please email transcripts@crooked.com and include the name of the podcast.
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