Glenn Diesen - Greater Eurasia Podcast

George Beebe: US-Russia Agreement to End NATO Expansionism or Accept an Ugly Russian Victory

Oct 23, 2025
George Beebe, Director of Grand Strategy at the Quincy Institute and former CIA analyst, discusses pressing U.S.-Russia relations. He argues the window for an agreement to halt NATO expansion is closing, warning of a possible Russian victory. Beebe highlights European hardliners and U.S. bureaucracy as key opponents to compromise. He elaborates on Russia's attrition strategies and the impact of narratives on public opinion. Beebe also envisions potential negotiated peace terms and stresses the urgency to act before opportunities vanish.
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INSIGHT

Trump's Strategic Goal And Tactical Flexibility

  • President Trump pursues a consistent strategic goal to negotiate an end to the war while shifting tactics frequently in public.
  • George Beebe warns media hostility and tactical flexibility create confusion and undermine diplomatic openings.
INSIGHT

Russia's War Of Attrition Advantage

  • Russia is fighting a war of attrition, leveraging size, population, and industrial output rather than maneuver blitzkrieg.
  • Beebe argues attrition advantages mean battlefield maps can change slowly until sudden collapse becomes likely.
INSIGHT

The Coalition Blocking Compromise

  • A significant Western coalition opposes compromise, driven by European leaders, parts of Ukrainian elites, media, and segments of the U.S. bureaucracy.
  • Beebe labels them the 'coalition of the unwilling' who prefer Russian defeat over negotiated settlement.
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