Many Happy Returns

Does Europe Have the Financial Firepower to Stand Up to Trump?

40 snips
Jan 21, 2026
Presidential threats of tariffs against NATO allies over Greenland spark a deep dive into Europe's financial clout. Can Europe effectively push back against the U.S., especially with the proposed anti-coercion instrument? The discussion explores potential targets like U.S. tech and services. Unexpected economic warfare could hurt both sides, but how likely is it that Europe would actually act? Ultimately, the hosts analyze the tricky nature of U.S. treasury sales and the broader implications for global markets.
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INSIGHT

Europe's True Leverage Is Services And IP

  • Europe holds leverage over the US via services, IP and investment access, not just goods tariffs.
  • Targeting US tech and services would hit US corporate earnings and equity markets hardest.
INSIGHT

The ACI Is A Heavy Deterrent

  • The EU's anti-coercion instrument (ACI) is a powerful, untested tool designed to deter trade coercion.
  • It requires qualified majority voting and could take months to implement but serves mainly as a deterrent.
INSIGHT

ACI Can Hit Investment And Markets

  • ACI countermeasures extend beyond tariffs to investment, procurement, capital market access and IP protection.
  • Those measures would disproportionately harm US services and financial firms, not just goods exporters.
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