Is An Over-Confident Wall Street At Risk Of Stocks Dropping Again? | Katie Stockton

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Jun 24, 2025

In this conversation, Katie Stockton, Founder and Managing Partner of Fairlead Strategies, shares her insights on the current market landscape. She warns of a potential downward trend in stocks, citing technical weaknesses despite Wall Street's unwarranted optimism. The discussion also delves into defensive investment strategies, emphasizing the importance of sectors like consumer staples. With the Israel-Iran conflict brewing, she highlights the risks of overconfidence and the need for cautious portfolio management in volatile times.

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INSIGHT

Market's Unexpected Resilience To Geopolitics

Despite the US airstrike on Iran's nuclear sites, global equity markets showed surprising resilience, even with geopolitical tensions rising.
This suggests markets may be pricing in uncertainty, hoping for the best-case scenarios rather than reacting negatively.

INSIGHT

Megacaps Showing Signs Of Weakness

The recent rise in megacap tech stocks appears fragile and losing momentum despite gains.
This weakening could presage a market downside shift that might surprise optimistic investors.

ADVICE

Hold Cash For Better Entries

Keep a portion of your portfolio in cash to deploy at better valuations during market pullbacks.
Reduce exposure when sell signals appear and increase defensive positioning for risk management.

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WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comOver this past weekend, the United States conducted an airstrike that appears to have destroyed Iran's most important nuclear facilities.The US had been supporting Israel with defensive measures in its military campaign with Iran. But this marks the first offensive role America has taken in the conflict.What material impact will this have on the markets, if any?To discuss, we're fortunate to welcome back to the program market technician and portfolio manager Katie Stockton, Founder and Managing Partner of Fairlead Strategies.Katie's models show stocks losing momentum and concerning technical weakness. But Wall Street remains optimistic -- perhaps too much so.In her mind, the likely movement is to the downside from here. Which is likely to catch many current longs by surprise.#marketcorrection #volatility #technicalanalysis _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.