Nicole Grajewski and Andrey Baklitskiy discuss Russia's 'cluster of discontent' with Jon, highlighting Putin's alliances with anti-US nations like Iran and North Korea. They delve into Russia's nuclear policy post-Cold War, military doctrines, support for North Korea, and the challenges in deciphering Kim Jong Un's intentions.
Russia's nuclear doctrine may undergo revisions to lower the threshold aligning with territorial integrity concerns.
Russia collaborates with North Korea and Iran to advance its interests and counter US influence.
Deep dives
Russia's Evolution of Nuclear Policy Since the Cold War
Russia's nuclear policy has evolved significantly since the end of the Cold War. Initially inheriting the Soviet Union's stance, Russia shifted to a lower nuclear threshold in the 90s due to its weakened military. Subsequent military doctrines in 2010 and 2014 outlined conditions for nuclear use only when the state's very existence is threatened. Strategic non-nuclear deterrence was introduced as an alternative, emphasizing conventional military strength.
Changes in Russian Nuclear Doctrine and Foreign Policy
There are indications that Russia's nuclear doctrine may undergo revisions to lower the nuclear threshold. President Putin's statements and expert opinions suggest potential changes aligning with territorial integrity concerns and broadening the conditions for nuclear use. Russia's evolving foreign policy relationships with North Korea and Iran also influence its nuclear strategy, emphasizing multipolarity and cooperation with perceived anti-Western countries.
Russia's Strategic Relationships with North Korea and Iran
Russia's relationship dynamics with North Korea have shifted, with increased cooperation in military hardware and technological support. This collaboration, despite historical dismissiveness towards North Korea’s capabilities, signifies Russia's focus on meeting military demands. Additionally, implications of Russia's engagement with North Korea reflect tensions with China and Iran. The mutual benefits in military cooperation pose strategic questions about the global status quo and regional power dynamics.
Putin is a firm believer in the old adage “the enemy of my enemy is my friend.” Russia has been working with a growing cluster of anti-US countries to advance his interests since the invasion of Ukraine, including Iran and North Korea. Nicole Grajewski and Andrey Baklitskiy join Jon to analyze Russia’s ‘cluster of discontent’ and more.