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BiggerPockets Daily

No, Mortgage Delinquencies Are Not Spiking and the Market is Not Crashing

Mar 31, 2025
Homeowner delinquencies are rising, but there's no need to panic. The data shows that the increase is mostly tied to multifamily loans, while single-family homeowner statistics remain reassuring. Economic forecasts from Fannie Mae offer insights into home sales and inflation, debunking fears of a market collapse. Surprisingly, the current levels are still below pre-COVID figures. Despite wildfires and inflation concerns, the housing market's stability and steady home price appreciation stand out amidst economic uncertainties.
16:15

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Quick takeaways

  • Despite rising homeowner delinquencies, current mortgage rates remain below pre-COVID levels, indicating a lower risk of a housing crisis.
  • Fannie Mae's updated economic forecast suggests a mixed outlook, with anticipated GDP slowdown yet continued growth in the single-family mortgage market.

Deep dives

Understanding Homeowner Delinquency Rates

Mortgage delinquency rates are crucial indicators of the housing market's health, significantly influencing its stability. Recent discussions have suggested alarming trends, yet recent data shows the national mortgage delinquency rate remains below pre-pandemic levels, sitting at 3.53%. While there is some increase in delinquencies among FHA loans, which usually cater to low-income buyers, it's important to note that most mortgage loans issued during the pandemic were to well-qualified borrowers with high credit scores. Consequently, the overall risk of a housing crisis appears overestimated, especially since issues in multifamily properties, influenced by local market conditions, do not necessarily translate to single-family homes.

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