Fed Shift Rates Debate From ‘How High’ to ‘How Long’
Aug 15, 2023
auto_awesome
Molly Smith and Ira Jersey discuss the latest US economic news and Fed policy. Isabelle Freidheim explains the goldmine of emerging markets for publicly traded companies. Joel Weber talks about the threat of war with China in Taiwan's next election. Lisa Erickson discusses the equity market and wealthy investor concerns.
The US equity market is experiencing volatility, and investors should maintain a balanced approach in equities and fixed income due to uncertainty about future growth potential and policy direction.
Wealthy investors are advised to stay strategically positioned in equities and fixed income, avoiding significant overweight or underweight positions, as there is ongoing uncertainty surrounding growth potential and policy directions.
Deep dives
Uncertainty in the Equity Market
The US equity market is experiencing volatility, with investors being swayed by news flow, inflation concerns, and uncertainty about the Federal Reserve's monetary tightening policy. The recommended approach is to stay strategically balanced in equities and fixed income, as there is a lack of clarity about future growth potential and policy direction. A cautious, long-term perspective is advised, maintaining a neutral outlook on the equity market.
Clients Focused on Long-Term Outlook
Wealthy investors are engaged in conversations about the long-term prospects for the economy and financial markets. The guidance given to clients is to stay strategically positioned in equities and fixed income, maintaining typical weights in these asset classes. With the ongoing uncertainty surrounding growth potential and policy directions, a balanced approach is favored, avoiding significant overweight or underweight positions.
US Bank Forecasts Slowing Growth, Soft Landing
US Bank's base case scenario is for slowing growth but the potential to avoid a severe recession. The US economy is expected to experience some moderation, but consumers remain resilient, and companies are managing top and bottom-line growth. A soft landing is anticipated due to the strength of the consumer and corporate sectors, coupled with signs of economic resilience. The goal is to manage potential risks while seeking to avoid a sharp downturn.
Growing Interest in Private Markets
There is an increasing interest among investors in the private markets, driven by a search for yield and additional opportunities beyond traditional asset classes. US Bank advises clients with longer time horizons and a higher risk tolerance to consider private market investments. While recognizing the illiquidity and longer commitment periods associated with these investments, opportunities for higher risk premiums and access to unique economic sectors make private markets an appealing option.
Bloomberg News Economics Editor Molly Smith and Bloomberg Intelligence Chief US Interest Rate Strategist Ira Jersey break down the latest US economic news and talk about Fed policy. Isabelle Freidheim, CEO of Athena, explains why emerging markets are a goldmine for more companies ready to be publicly traded. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber talks about his Businessweek Magazine cover story War With China Is the Threat That Defines Taiwan’s Next Election. And we Drive to the Close with Lisa Erickson, Head of Public Markets Group at U.S. Bank Wealth Management. Hosts: Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec. Producer: Paul Brennan.