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The MeidasTouch Podcast
Trump Gets CRUSHING NEWS from Final Polls (with Simon Rosenberg and Tom Bonier)
Nov 4, 2024
Join Simon Rosenberg, founder of Hopium Chronicles, and Tom Bonier from Target Smart as they dive into the latest election data. They uncover critical insights about early voting patterns, revealing potential challenges for Republican turnout. The duo discusses the shifting poll numbers, highlighting Kamala Harris's rising support and Trump's waning lead among male voters. Discover the manipulation within political betting markets and the importance of combating disinformation. Their optimistic take encourages listeners to engage and make their voices heard as the campaign heats up.
27:22
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Quick takeaways
- A significant drop in early voting turnout, approximately 13% lower than the previous election, indicates a potential shift in voter behaviors favoring election day voting.
- Recent polling suggests Vice President Kamala Harris has gained ground in battleground states, highlighting an effective grassroots mobilization by Democrats.
Deep dives
Early Voting Patterns and Republican Challenges
A significant drop in early voting turnout, approximately 13% lower than the previous election, is noted, suggesting that many voters have shifted back to casting their ballots on election day. Despite Republicans' efforts to mobilize early voting among their supporters, the data reflects a notable failure in their strategy, as early voter demographics closely resemble those of the 2020 election, where Democrats had a clear advantage. While some Republican states show slight improvement in early voting, it is contrastingly insufficient given the substantial investments made, including the participation of high-profile figures like Elon Musk to encourage turnout. Republicans have to reassess their approach, as the expected surge from new registrants and younger male voters did not materialize, leaving them in a precarious position heading into election day.
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Discover
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