War on the Rocks
Looking Beyond the Offensive in Ukraine
Oct 18, 2023
Analysts discuss the Russo-Ukrainian war, the challenges Ukraine may face next year, and Russia's turn to North Korea for artillery shells. The delay in providing certain weapons to Ukraine is highlighted, along with the need to be forward-looking in the conflict. The chapter also emphasizes the importance of international support for Ukraine's future.
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Quick takeaways
- Ukraine may be planning one more offensive push before winter, potentially towards Tukmok with a cross-river operation.
- Ukraine's offensive operation has inflicted a cost on the Russian military, reducing their offensive capacity and suppressing their ability to effectively launch offensives.
Deep dives
State of the Offensive and Future Projections
The state of Ukraine's offensive in the ongoing conflict with Russia is analyzed, with attention given to the progress made and the potential for future developments. While initial claims of breakthroughs in the South were premature, there is speculation that more is still to come before the arrival of winter in November. The Ukrainian military is speculated to be saving up for one more push, potentially towards Tukmok with a potential cross-river operation. The Russian side is concerned about a possible ambitious offensive by Ukraine and has been conducting strikes on the Ukrainian side of the river.
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