State of the Offensive and Future Projections

The state of Ukraine's offensive in the ongoing conflict with Russia is analyzed, with attention given to the progress made and the potential for future developments. While initial claims of breakthroughs in the South were premature, there is speculation that more is still to come before the arrival of winter in November. The Ukrainian military is speculated to be saving up for one more push, potentially towards Tukmok with a potential cross-river operation. The Russian side is concerned about a possible ambitious offensive by Ukraine and has been conducting strikes on the Ukrainian side of the river.