Australian Politics cover image

Australian Politics

Saul Eslake on falling inflation and when interest rates might finally come down

Aug 30, 2024
Saul Eslake, an independent economist, shares insights on Australia's inflation challenges. He discusses the recent drop in inflation rates and how it aligns with global trends. Saul delves into the Reserve Bank's balancing act between curbing inflation and supporting employment. He highlights the impact of supply and demand, particularly in the housing market, and the lingering effects of COVID policies on the economy. Additionally, he tackles the complexities of government subsidies and their role in shaping consumer confidence.
37:13

Episode guests

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The Reserve Bank's cautious approach to interest rate cuts reflects its focus on the persistently high underlying inflation rate, complicating economic stability efforts.
  • Continued demand-supply imbalances, particularly in housing, drive inflation concerns, exacerbated by the effects of COVID-related fiscal stimulus on consumer behavior.

Deep dives

Current Inflation Trends in Australia

Recent inflation figures in Australia indicate a modest decline, with the headline rate dropping from 3.8% to 3.5%. However, this decrease is slower than anticipated by both the Reserve Bank and the government compared to other countries like the US and Canada, where central banks responded more aggressively to inflation. While the Reserve Bank has stated it will focus on the underlying inflation rate, which remains concerningly high at 3.8%, this suggests that interest rate cuts may not occur this year. The reluctance to lower rates highlights the complexity of managing inflation expectations while maintaining economic stability.

Get the Snipd
podcast app

Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
App store bannerPlay store banner

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode

Save any
moment

Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways

Share
& Export

Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode