EU Confidential How to lose a Dutch election — and still win one
Oct 31, 2025
In this discussion, Eva Hartog, a Dutch political reporter for Politico, dissects the recent Dutch election's surprising outcomes, highlighting the ideological contrasts between Rob Jetten and Geert Wilders. Max Griera analyzes Frans Timmermans’ defeat and its impact on European social democracy. Shawn Pogatchnik covers Catherine Connolly's significant victory in Ireland, noting its implications for leftist politics. Together, they explore campaign strategies, coalition prospects, and the intricate dynamics shaping European politics today.
AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
Winning Can Be A Hollow Victory
- The largest party can still be historically small in seats, producing weak winners.
- Dutch politics are fragmented, so 'winning' often means limited power and long coalition talks.
Anti-Populist Positivity Paid Off
- Rob Jetten positioned himself explicitly as the anti-Wilders with a positive, no-drama message.
- That appeal to normalcy and good governance propelled D66's historic result.
Experience Didn't Translate To Renewal
- Frans Timmermans' alliance suffered a crushing defeat despite expectations he could become PM.
- Familiar, internationally focused figures may struggle to convince voters seeking renewal.