Closing Bell

Closing Bell: Regional Bank Action Drives Volatility 10/16/25

Oct 16, 2025
Leslie Picker, a seasoned financial journalist, sheds light on regional bank challenges driving market volatility. Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab, discusses the intricate balance between idiosyncratic fraud and systemic credit risks. Dan Greenhaus, founder of Solus Alternative, navigates the murky waters of private credit and the potential AI bubble, sparking a debate over speculative froth. The trio also tackles the implications of falling yields and how they might shape future Fed actions.
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INSIGHT

Credit Idiosyncrasies Trigger Broad Market Sensitivity

  • Regional banks and alternative asset managers saw sharp declines after credit concerns tied to specific borrowers surfaced.
  • Markets reacted strongly despite exposures being small relative to tangible common equity, showing sensitivity to private-credit stress.
INSIGHT

Fraud Likely Idiosyncratic, Not Systemic

  • Dan Greenhaus argued First Brands and Tricolor problems are likely idiosyncratic fraud cases rather than systemic failures.
  • He contrasted private credit deals with broadly syndicated loans to explain why contagion may be limited.
ADVICE

Use Public Alts As Early Warning Signals

  • Watch public alternative managers like Apollo and KKR for early signals of broader credit stress.
  • Use their trading and disclosures as a market-level warning system for hidden shadow-banking risks.
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