
 The Team House
 The Team House Russia Stress Testing NATO | EYES ON GEOPOLITICS
 Sep 22, 2025 
 The panel dives into the U.S.'s decision to pause military assistance to the Baltics, discussing its symbolic impact on NATO cohesion. They analyze Russia's provocations and the implications for regional security. The conversation then shifts to the complex situation in Gaza, addressing the IDF's operational tactics and the humanitarian crisis. Taiwan's arms package pause raises concerns about U.S. credibility in global conflicts. Finally, they critique proposals to return to Bagram Air Base, weighing the costs and strategic motivations behind such a move. 
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NATO Is Strategic Investment, Not Charity
- NATO's value is deterrence and burden-sharing, not charity; weakening it increases US costs later.
- Speakers argue allies are now investing more and need continued US backing to deter Russia.
Symbolic Cuts Undermine Deterrence
- Pausing $250M in Baltic security aid is small financially but large symbolically to NATO neighbors.
- Mick Mulroy warns symbolic withdrawal undermines alliance credibility and eastern deterrence.
Make Probes Costly Immediately
- Respond to Russian probes with credible and visible consequences rather than compliments.
- Mick Mulroy recommends escalating NATO posture and exercises after airspace incursions to deter further probing.


