WSJ Opinion: Potomac Watch

The GOP's Chances in the Virginia and New Jersey Governor's Races

Oct 8, 2025
Kate Batchelder-Odell, an insightful Wall Street Journal editorial board member, discusses the competitive Virginia governor's race, highlighting Abigail Spanberger's lead and controversies surrounding Jay Jones. Mene Ukwe Barua, also from the WSJ, analyzes the tightening New Jersey race, with Jack Ciattarelli focusing on energy and taxes. They delve into the potential impact of federal issues on state politics, as well as how emerging scandals could alter voter sentiments and campaign strategies.
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INSIGHT

Spanberger Benefits From Year And Message

  • Abigail Spanberger leads amid favorable Democratic year and strong suburban support.
  • Her moderate, law-enforcement-focused message appeals to swing suburban women that Republicans struggle to win.
INSIGHT

Sears Runs As Youngkin Continuity Candidate

  • Winsome Earle-Sears runs on continuing Youngkin's agenda with "keep a good thing going."
  • Her tie to Youngkin can attract moderate suburban voters but fundamentals still favor Democrats.
INSIGHT

Shutdown Helps Democrats At The Margins

  • The federal government shutdown likely helps Democrats marginally, especially in Northern Virginia.
  • Political blame for the shutdown will shape its electoral impact more than the shutdown itself.
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