Retired U.S. Army Gen. David Petraeus discusses America's role amidst renewed conflict in the Middle East, Russia's war in Ukraine, and Israel's vision for the future. The podcast also covers President Biden's initial support for Israel, passing on the lessons from 9-11, and Putin's strategy in the Middle East.
Effective leadership in Israel's planned ground operation in Gaza requires more than seeking vengeance - a clear vision for the future and addressing the lives of Palestinians is essential.
The United States' role in the Middle East includes not only military support to Israel but also engaging in dialogue to plan for the post-conflict phase and address the humanitarian needs, governance, and regional deterrence.
Deep dives
Israel's Ground Operation in Gaza
Israel's planned ground operation in Gaza is considered a fiendishly difficult task that requires sound strategic leadership. It is crucial for Prime Minister Netanyahu and the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) chief of staff to get the big ideas right, which goes beyond seeking vengeance. They must develop a vision for what follows and address the lives of Palestinians in Gaza and the West Bank. Merely 'mowing the grass' by conducting a limited military action would result in Hamas reconstituting itself. A successful operation would require clearing every building, floor, room, basement, and tunnel in the face of an enemy that employs improvised explosive devices and other tactics. The challenge is immense, similar to the nine-month clearing operation against the Islamic State in Iraq.
America's Role in the Middle East
The United States' role in the Middle East includes supporting Israel and deterring potential fronts. The US has provided military assets and additional forces to the region, demonstrating the commitment to Israel's security. However, the focus should not be solely on military aspects. The US should engage in dialogue with Israel to plan for the post-conflict phase and address critical questions about the lives of Palestinians in Gaza and the West Bank. This comprehensive approach requires considering the immediate humanitarian needs, restoring basic services, and establishing effective governance. The US also aims to dissuade and deter actions from Iran, preventing regional escalation and the involvement of groups like Hezbollah. The ongoing discussions aim to shape a vision that goes beyond military action and leads to long-term stability and security.
Lessons from Past Intel Failures
The recent intelligence failure, referring to the events in the Middle East, highlights the importance of comprehensive and effective intelligence operations. Such failures can shake confidence in the system and impact operational and strategic decisions. Drawing lessons from previous failures, like those experienced after 9/11, is crucial in preventing future intelligence failures. Thoughtful and measured responses should be prioritized, taking into account the potential long-term consequences of actions. Vengeance must be approached thoughtfully and strategically, with a clear vision of the future. This cautionary path is essential to avoid unintended consequences and ensure sustainable results.
Ukraine's Counter-Offensive and America's Support
Ukraine's counter-offensive against Russia's invasion has faced challenges and frustrations, but it has the potential to surprise and achieve more than expected. The adaptation and resilience shown by Ukrainian forces reflect their determination and understanding of what they are fighting for - independence and survival. While progress has been slower than anticipated, unexpected developments and the potential crumbling of Russian forces should not be ruled out. The US should continue its support by providing necessary military equipment and economic assistance promptly. The delayed decisions on critical supplies, like tanks and aircraft, have hindered Ukraine's offensive capabilities. Sustained support, along with tightening financial and personal sanctions, is crucial in demonstrating to Russia that the war is unsustainable for Ukraine and compelling it to rethink its actions.
Renewed conflict in the Middle East and Russia’s ongoing war in Ukraine have left policymakers scrambling. Retired U.S. Army Gen. David Petraeus joins FP Live to discuss America’s role and what he expects to happen next.
In a 37-year career in the military, Petraeus led missions in Iraq and Afghanistan before becoming CIA director from 2011 to 2012. He is also a co-author of Conflict: The Evolution of Warfare From 1945 to Ukraine.
