Bronte Capital co-founder & Investment Officer John Hempton on why he follows corporate fraudsters & short sells shares; and why he was right about Europe’s big stock fraud, Wirecard, but HOW he still lost money on it.
Aug 2, 2020
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John Hempton, co-founder and Chief Investment Officer at Bronte Capital, is known for his unconventional approach to investing. In this discussion, he dives into the art of short selling and his fascination with tracking corporate fraudsters. Hempton shares insights on the infamous Wirecard scandal, revealing the shocking failures that allowed €1.9 billion to disappear. He also examines the risks of short selling, the moral dilemmas it presents, and the urgent need for regulatory reform to prevent corporate deceit.
John Hempton underscores the critical role of thorough research and portfolio risk management in successfully short selling against corporate fraudsters.
The Wirecard scandal exemplifies failures in regulatory oversight, emphasizing the need for vigilance to prevent similar incidents in financial markets.
Deep dives
The Eccentricity of Investment Strategies
John Hempton, co-founder of Bronte Capital, emphasizes the unique approach to investment that sets his firm apart, particularly their strong focus on short selling and identifying fraudulent companies. Hempton's career began in the Federal Treasury, where he honed his skills in detecting tax avoidance, which later evolved into a passion for short selling. The firm, founded during the global financial crisis, has successfully grown its funds under management to approximately $1 billion in just over a decade. Hempton's unconventional and eccentric style, combined with thorough research, allows Bronte Capital to capitalize on identifying underperforming stocks while investing in high-quality companies.
Lessons from Wirecard's Collapse
The Wirecard scandal serves as a prime example of corporate fraud, revealing systemic failures at various levels, including auditors and regulators. Hempton highlights the massive losses suffered by Bronte Capital after shorting Wirecard, despite recognizing it as fraudulent prior to its collapse. The case demonstrates how the German financial regulators were misled and engaged in protecting the company rather than investigating its activities, in stark contrast to the actions taken by Australian regulators when alerted to fraud. This incident illustrates the potential consequences of regulatory capture and the importance of vigilance in financial markets.
Understanding Short Selling Mechanisms
Hempton provides an insightful breakdown of how short selling works, explaining that the practice involves selling borrowed shares with the expectation that their prices will decline. If successful, short sellers can repurchase the shares at a lower price, thereby profiting from the difference. This strategy, albeit risky, focuses heavily on identifying fraudulent companies, offering potential lucrative returns when executed correctly. Hempton's discussion points towards the inherent risks of short selling, acknowledging that losses can escalate quickly if market conditions do not align with predictions.
The Importance of Regulatory Vigilance
The discussion raises critical awareness regarding the regulatory environment in both Australia and Germany, particularly the challenges regulators face in detecting and addressing fraud effectively. Hempton notes that Australia's relatively weak regulatory framework struggles against a landscape populated by 'dumb money' from superannuation funds, which aggressively invests in trending stocks without adequate scrutiny. He argues that regulators must evolve to recognize and combat fraudulent activities to protect public investments and the integrity of the financial market. Hempton's experiences highlight the necessity for robust systems of oversight to prevent future financial scandals like Wirecard.
Global fund manager John Hempton, co-founder and Chief Investment Officer at Sydney-based Bronte Capital is a maverick investor who prides himself on being eccentric and loves to track down corporate frauds and short sell their shares. He creates critics, particularly amongst managements, because he’s a short-seller. In Part 1 of this interview, Hempton explains why he short sells, or bets against companies whose shares he believes will go down. In its 11 years, he says Bronte Capital has shorted over 1,000 stocks globally. But he also invests long in good, quality companies. He talks of the crucial importance of portfolio risk management as a short-seller; and why Europe’s biggest stock fraud - the recent scandal engulfing Wirecard- not only burnt Bronte Capital but why it could happen in Australia.