Paul Adams, BBC's diplomatic correspondent in Dnipro, shares first-hand insights on Ukraine's evolving stance toward peace. He delves into President Zelensky's shifting vision amidst increasing Russian advances and the uncertain future of US military aid. Discussion includes the challenges of negotiating with Putin, the emotional toll of prolonged conflict on Ukrainians, and the complex dynamics of territorial integrity. The conversation paints a vivid picture of a nation exhausted yet hopeful for diplomatic resolutions.
Zelensky's evolving stance on peace negotiations reflects a growing urgency for diplomacy amid military setbacks and public fatigue with the conflict.
The international community's role in supporting Ukraine's post-war recovery is crucial for regional stability and preventing future aggressions.
Deep dives
Escalating Conflict and Military Support
Recent developments in the Ukraine conflict signal significant escalations, with heavy bombardments on infrastructure and strategic support from the U.S. enabling Ukraine to launch attacks against Russia. The Biden administration's decision to allow Ukraine to use long-range missiles and provide landmines has been framed as a necessary move to bolster Ukraine’s defenses amid Russian threats, including the use of nuclear weapons. The urgency stems from the intensifying military situation, where Russian forces are reportedly reinforced and pursuing aggressive territorial gains. This military support aims to help Ukraine maintain its position in contested regions, particularly Kursk, viewed as crucial for future negotiations.
Challenges of Negotiated Peace
The possibility of a negotiated peace is increasingly discussed by Ukrainian leadership, reflecting a shift amid the grim realities on the battlefield. President Zelensky's acknowledgment of the need for diplomatic solutions highlights a complex interplay of desire for territorial integrity and the harsh conditions on the ground faced by Ukrainians. Polls indicate that a notable segment of the population is open to compromises, even in terms of territorial concessions, due to exhaustion from prolonged war. However, deep concerns remain regarding the implications for those living in Russian-occupied territories, where repression and violence continue to escalate.
Perceptions of Leadership and International Support
Amidst the ongoing conflict, opinions about President Zelensky's leadership remain divided as Ukrainians reflect on his ability to lead both during and after the war. While many respect his resilience and commitment, doubts linger about his long-term viability as a leader, particularly in a post-war context. Despite mixed feelings, there is a strong belief that the international community will need to support Ukraine’s reconstruction efforts, recognizing the high stakes for democracy and stability in the region. The expectation is that Ukraine will emerge from this conflict with backing for economic recovery initiatives, as global powers view the nation's successful rebuilding as vital to preventing future aggression.
Why President Volodymyr Zelensky’s vision for the end of the war may be changing. After a week of escalation between Ukraine and Russia, we look at the prospect of a peace agreement being reached in 2025. With Moscow making gains on the ground and Donald Trump’s election victory casting uncertainty on the future of US military aid, Zelensky has said Ukraine must do everything it can to end the war through diplomacy next year. But what would Vladimir Putin want from a peace deal? And what is Zelensky willing to give up? On this episode, Lucy Hockings speaks to the BBC’s diplomatic correspondent Paul Adams, who is in the Ukrainian city of Dnipro.
Producers: Peter Goffin and Alix Pickles
Sound engineers: Jack Graysmark and Mike Regaard
Assistant editors: Sergi Forcada Freixas and Richard Moran
Senior news editor: Sara Wadeson
Get the Snipd podcast app
Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode
Save any moment
Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways
Share & Export
Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode