How will Sunak and Starmer run their election campaigns?
Jan 6, 2024
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Fraser Nelson and Katie Perrior discuss the challenges of running election campaigns. They analyze the abilities of Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer, Conservative strategies attacking Labour and showcasing achievements, and Rishi Sunak's campaign strategy and the influence of David Cameron.
The Conservatives aim to portray Rishi Sunak as a hardworking achiever with a retail proposition, while Keir Starmer's strategy of presenting himself as a moderate with a Project Hope campaign has been effective, leaving the Conservatives struggling to counter his lead.
Incumbent governments like the current Conservative government face challenges in reinventing their image for another campaign, especially when defending their own record becomes problematic; adaptability and seizing opportunities are crucial for success in a campaign.
Deep dives
Conservatives' Election Strategy: Retail Proposition and Talking Up Labour Risks
The Conservatives are strategizing for the upcoming election campaign by focusing on a retail proposition and emphasizing the risks associated with Labour. Rishi Sunak, aiming for a similar retail offer to previous campaigns, intends to project himself as a hard worker who gets results. He may highlight reduced levels of small boat crossings and falling mortgage rates. However, portraying Keir Starmer as an extremist or demonstrating significant differences in protecting the country may prove challenging. Additionally, Starmer's strategy of presenting himself as a moderate with a Project Hope campaign has been effective, leaving the Conservatives struggling to counter his lead.
Challenges of Reinventing an Incumbent Government in an Election
The current Conservative government faces difficulties in reinventing itself for a fifth consecutive election campaign. Incumbent governments often struggle to reinvent their image and may find it challenging to overcome preconceived notions about their policies and performance. The Conservatives aim to convince voters that they are better suited to handle the economy, address immigration issues, and provide clarity on policies. However, defending their own record becomes problematic given the lack of fulfilled promises. The public's perception of politicians can rapidly change during a campaign, making it crucial for parties to adapt and seize opportunities.
Campaigners and Attacks: Rishi Sunak, Keir Starmer, and Conservative Strategy
Both Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer face challenges as campaigners. Sunak believes he excels at town hall events where his down-to-earth character shines, while Starmer projects a more lawyerly and less engaging persona. However, the way politicians connect with individual voters is crucial in rallying support. The Conservatives' campaign attacks on Labour are likely to focus on the economy, highlighting plans they perceive as out of control and a lack of clear immigration strategies. However, the Conservatives must be cautious in criticizing Labour given their own performance. The campaign's trajectory and unforeseen events can significantly impact the success of a campaign.
Rishi Sunak has all but confirmed that this year’s general election will take place in autumn. How will the Prime Minister, and Keir Starmer, run their campaigns?
James Heale speaks to Fraser Nelson and Katie Perrior, former director of communications for Theresa May, and now a director at iNHouse Communications.
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