What Can Be, Burdened By What Has Been (with Astead Herndon of NYT)
Nov 10, 2024
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Astead Herndon, a National politics reporter for The New York Times and host of The Run-Up, offers a fearless analysis of the upcoming elections. He contrasts election nights of 2016 and 2024, shedding light on the misconceptions some politicians hold about Black and Latino voters. Astead recounts his revealing interview with Vice President Harris, examines Democratic messaging failures, and discusses the rise of the 'podcast election.' He insists that the Democratic Party must evolve to effectively engage voters, addressing power dynamics and accountability.
Astead Herndon's bottom-up reporting approach emphasizes the necessity of engaging directly with underrepresented voter voices to understand the electorate's evolving sentiments.
The Democratic Party's disconnect with traditionally loyal voter blocks, such as Black and Latino communities, signals an urgent need for strategic reevaluation and outreach.
Herndon's analysis illustrates that the media and political leaders must adapt their narratives to acknowledge and address the nuanced frustrations of today's voters.
Deep dives
Impact of 5G Solutions on Retail
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Political Reporting and Voter Voices
The practice of bottom-up reporting, emphasized by journalist Ested Herndon, highlights the importance of listening to underrepresented voter voices in swing states. By living out of a suitcase and engaging directly with voters in states like Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, Herndon gained valuable perspectives that often go unheard in mainstream media. This approach not only aids in understanding voter sentiment but also reveals underlying trust issues toward political leadership, particularly regarding the low enthusiasm for President Biden's reelection campaign. Such insights are critical for political analysts attempting to navigate the complex landscape of contemporary American politics.
Democratic Party Challenges and Voter Discontent
The Democratic Party's failure to acknowledge a growing disconnect with voters is underscored by recent election shifts, where traditionally loyal blocks showed signs of erosion. Statistics illustrate how counties that previously tilted Democratic swung towards Trump, suggesting a realignment of voter priorities that Democrats underestimated. This loss of support, particularly among Black and Latino voters, is exacerbated by a perceived lack of engagement from party leaders, making it crucial for a reckoning within the party about its strategies and outreach. Acknowledging these shifts is the first step toward rebuilding trust and reclaiming lost constituencies.
Media Influence and Misjudgment in Elections
Ested Herndon’s analysis of the recent election results emphasizes a critical misjudgment within the media and Democratic Party regarding voter behaviors and preferences. Following the electoral outcomes, many pundits expressed shock, yet polls and grassroots sentiments had long indicated dissatisfaction with the Biden administration. The tendency to rely on past demographics without regard for changing factors, such as economic distress and the impact of inflation, led to a significant oversight. This highlights the necessity for political and media spheres to adapt their narrative approaches to reflect nuanced voter sentiments, particularly among younger demographics.
The Future of Democratic Leadership
The dilemma of establishing effective leadership within the Democratic Party is a topical concern, particularly in light of the challenges faced in recent elections. Leaders like Kamala Harris and Joe Biden are perceived to struggle in providing clear, distinct visions for the future, leading to a sense of ambivalence among the electorate. As political analysts suggest, a fundamental shift is required not only in messaging but also in addressing the needs of a diversified base, which contains a multitude of voices and expectations. The path forward involves embracing new formats and leaders who can resonate with these constituents to reclaim confidence and support within the party.
It’s been a week. To help us through it, we’ve enlisted The New York Times political reporter Astead Herndon.
We start with election night 2024 versus election night 2016 (6:35), what Astead discovered about the electorate reporting across the U.S. on his podcastThe Run-Up (9:25), and how insider Democrats arrived at a second Biden run in 2023 (13:30). Then, we discuss politicians’ “lowercase racist” assumptions about Black and Latino voters (16:02), Herndon’s telling one on one interview with Vice President Harris (22:52), and the pervasive, nationwide sentiments that led to Donald Trump’s re-election (32:24).
On the back-half: where the Harris campaign fell short in its messaging to voters (38:48), the rise of the “podcast election” (44:48), a revealing window into the Biden administration (47:35), how quickly “good intentions” can turn power corrupted (53:01), and why the Democratic party must remake itself (1:00:55) as we begin to move forward from this election (1:06:00).