FEAR & GREED | Business News

Q+A: Will we see four-year terms in Canberra?

Sep 3, 2025
The federal government is considering a major shift to fixed four-year parliamentary terms. This move could enhance political stability but faces challenges, including the need for a referendum. The discussion highlights historical reforms and debates around increasing House of Representatives seats in response to growing population demands. Additionally, there's a focus on how these changes might impact the political landscape, including potential benefits for rebuilding parties and improved governance consistency.
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INSIGHT

Make Election Timing Predictable

  • Fixing election dates removes political timing advantages and reduces uncertainty for businesses and voters.
  • Four-year terms align the federal cycle with most states and give governments more time to govern rather than campaign.
ADVICE

Fix The Date To Reduce Uncertainty

  • Avoid flexible election timing because it politicises the date and creates uncertainty for planning.
  • Fix the date to improve predictability for businesses, individuals, and government operations.
INSIGHT

Referendum Is The Real Barrier

  • Four-year terms have broad bipartisan support historically but changing them requires clearing the high bar of a referendum.
  • Australia has a poor referendum track record, so political calculation and public persuasion matter greatly.
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