UPDATE: EU Will Impose 'Countermeasures' Against Trump Tariffs
Feb 11, 2025
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Kevin Whitelaw, Bloomberg's Brussels Bureau Chief, discusses the EU's firm response to potential U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum, emphasizing their strategy for countermeasures. He analyzes the implications for international trade and touches on exemptions for Australia despite President Trump's hard stance. Whitelaw also highlights the rising tensions affecting transatlantic relations and the urgency of these economic shifts, particularly regarding Germany's position in the trade landscape. The conversation underscores the significance of European unity amidst increasing nationalism.
The European Union is prepared to implement countermeasures against U.S. tariffs, emphasizing the need for negotiations to mitigate impacts.
Germany could face significant political and economic challenges due to proposed tariffs, influencing unity among political parties and election strategies.
Deep dives
EU's Response to US Tariffs
The European Union has formally announced its intention to respond to proposed U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum, which President Trump threatens to impose. The EU considers these tariffs unlawful and has indicated that if implemented, they will enforce countermeasures. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen emphasized that the EU is preparing for various forms of retaliation, which could mirror previous measures taken during a similar conflict in the past, such as tariffs on American goods like Harley Davidson motorcycles and Levi jeans. There is a strong emphasis on negotiations, as the EU seeks to engage with the Trump administration to potentially mitigate or avert the tariff's impact before its scheduled implementation.
Impact on the German Economy
Germany stands out as the most affected nation within the EU due to its significant trade surplus with the United States, valued at approximately 70 billion euros last year. The imposition of tariffs could adversely impact both the German economy and American consumers, as businesses like Mercedes-Benz illustrate the intricacies of transatlantic trade involving components manufactured in both regions. With Germany being the seventh-largest exporter of steel to the U.S., any tariff could complicate economic ties. This situation comes at a delicate time, as Germany faces potential political instability and a looming recession, highlighting the broader ramifications of such tariffs.
Domestic Political Ramifications
The introduction of tariffs has the potential to influence the political landscape in Germany, possibly reshaping election campaigns and party strategies. Leaders like Olaf Scholz may face pressure to respond effectively to safeguard German interests against perceived American unilateralism, while challengers like Frederick Mertz could capitalize on discontent. Nonetheless, there appears to be an understanding among German political parties about the need for unity in confronting U.S. demands, emphasizing cooperation rather than division within the EU. As the situation evolves, the political discourse may shift, urging a more strategic approach to combat economic challenges stemming from international trade dynamics.
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On today's podcast:
(1) The European Union says it will respond to any tariffs the US might impose on it. The warning comes after President Trump pushed forward with his pledge to place a 25% tariff on all US steel and aluminium imports.
(2) Despite Trump's insistence that there would be 'zero exemptions'. The US President says he will "give consideration" to a carve-out for Australia. Those comments were also echoed by the country's Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, after a call between the two leaders.
(3) The growing prospect of a trade war comes as the the UK's new ambassador to the US -- Peter Mandelson -- says it's important for allies to respect Trump's electoral mandate.
(4) A group of investors led by Elon Musk has offered to buy the nonprofit that controls OpenAI for $97.4 billion, escalating a clash between the Tesla chief executive and the artificial intelligence company he co-founded.
(5) A Bank of England voting member who backed an outsized interest rate cut last week sees companies struggling to raise prices as consumers pull back on spending.
(6) Europe is teetering on the edge of its next energy crisis after natural gas prices soared to the highest in two years.