Glenn Diesen - Greater Eurasia Podcast

Larry Johnson: Russia is “Ready Right Now” for War if Europe Attacks

Dec 4, 2025
Larry Johnson, a former CIA analyst and counterterrorism official, shares crucial insights on the ongoing tensions between Russia and Europe. He highlights Putin's warning that Russia is 'ready right now' for conflict if provoked, while unpacking the implications of recent attacks on energy infrastructure. Johnson critiques Western assumptions about Russia's economic resilience and discusses the nation's military strategies, including attrition warfare and potential mobilization. He also warns of Europe’s military limitations and the shifting dynamics towards a multipolar world.
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INSIGHT

Escalatory Ladder Over Naval Attacks

  • Russia warned Europe and Ukraine that continued attacks on Russian-linked ships and ports risk escalation up an 'escalatory ladder'.
  • Larry Johnson says Putin framed sinking foreign ships and blockading ports as piracy that will be met with proportional reaction.
INSIGHT

Energy Leverage Overstated

  • Western assumptions that cutting Russian oil and gas exports would collapse Russia are flawed and outdated.
  • Johnson argues oil/gas revenue is declining as a share of GDP and Russia is resilient to such pressure.
INSIGHT

Maritime Damage Doesn't Guarantee Collapse

  • Historical blockades and sinking merchant shipping didn't guarantee collapse of targeted economies.
  • Johnson uses WWII U-boat campaigns to show maritime attacks don't ensure strategic victory.
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