Dani Rodrik on the New Economics of Industrial Policy
Aug 1, 2024
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Dani Rodrik, a Harvard professor renowned for his insights on globalization and industrial policy, challenges the notion of hyperglobalization. He discusses how shifting views on globalization affect national identity and democracy, especially in light of recent crises. The conversation includes the evolving role of corporate America in prioritizing social goals alongside profits. Rodrik emphasizes the moral dimensions of industrial policy, noting that economic strategies often stem from defense needs rather than deliberate planning.
Dani Rodrik critiques hyperglobalization by highlighting the inherent conflicts within the globalization trilemma, advocating for a balance between democracy, sovereignty, and economic integration.
The podcast emphasizes the necessity for innovative industrial policies that address job creation in the evolving service sector amid changing economic conditions.
Deep dives
Assumptions Challenged
The podcast addresses several assumptions about capitalism that are often left untested, such as the effectiveness of government intervention and the belief that markets inherently operate well. It highlights the contrast in policies wherein the rich benefit from socialism while the poor face rugged individualism. There is a call for a better approach to support those who have been marginalized in the economic system, advocating for an evolution rather than a complete overhaul of capitalism. This reflects a broader discussion about the need to reassess long-standing economic paradigms that have shaped policy-making.
Critique of Globalization
The conversation delves into the historical context of globalization, notably critiquing the era defined by Milton Friedman's ideas, which hinged on minimal government intervention and unrestricted market forces. Following the financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, there has been a significant shift, with increasing skepticism towards globalization and a resurgence of industrial policy as a means to address economic challenges. The emergence of Danny Rodrik's insights on globalization's trilemma underscores the complexities of balancing global market integration with national interests and democratic governance. This perspective questions the previously held belief that globalization would inherently lead to widespread benefits.
Narratives in Economics
The podcast discusses the importance of narratives in shaping economic thought and policy. It describes how the dominant narrative during the hyper-globalization era emphasized the miraculous benefits of free markets, while dissenting views were often marginalized. Rodrik's skepticism about overly simplistic economic models shines a light on the need for more nuanced understandings of trade and its distributive effects, particularly in a political and social context. This highlights the tension between prevailing economic paradigms and the necessity for adaptable, real-world applications of economic theories.
Future of Work and Industrial Policy
The discussion transitions to the future of work, emphasizing that the loss of traditional manufacturing jobs requires innovative approaches to create new employment opportunities. It argues that current industrial policies must focus on service sector jobs and the development of technologies that complement low-skill labor, rather than hoping for a resurgence of manufacturing. By investing in skills training and improving working conditions in service industries, there is potential to reshape the labor market. This transformation necessitates a reevaluation of what constitutes meaningful employment in light of changing economic landscapes.
Harvard professor of international political economy Dani Rodrik has long been skeptical of what he calls "hyperglobalization," or an advanced level of interconnectedness between countries and their economies. He first introduced his theory of the "globalization trilemma" in the late 1990s, which states that no country can simultaneously support democracy, national sovereignty, and global economic integration.
At the time when he proposed his trilemma, Rodrik was considered an outcast. However, economists and policymakers have come to accept his theory as governments seek to address populism, trade imbalances, and uneven growth through renewed interest in industrial policy, or government efforts to improve the performance of key business sectors. Rodrik joins co-hosts Bethany and Luigi to discuss changing attitudes towards globalization: its distributional effects, how it affects politics, and how it is still searching for a narrative consistent between academic circles and the media. Together, the three of them discuss what role corporate America should play in our world restructured by economic and political populism and if economics is getting too far away from the rest of the social sciences when it comes to shaping industrial policy and creating the jobs of tomorrow.
Show Notes:Read Rodrik's co-authored December 2023 paper on the "New Economics of Industrial Policy" Read an ebook by ProMarket on cutting-edge contemporary debates around industrial policy
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