

How To Invest During a Bubble
13 snips Aug 20, 2025
Exploring the dynamics of market bubbles, the discussion uncovers the characteristics that maintain inflated valuations, particularly in tech stocks influenced by AI. Strategies for smart investing during this precarious time are shared, emphasizing caution and diversity in portfolios. The podcast highlights the current overhype in the U.S. stock market and the potential for opportunities within AI investments, all while acknowledging the risks of small-cap stocks in an escalating bubble environment.
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Hank Green's Portfolio Shift
- David recounts Hank Green's YouTube video about moving 25% out of the S&P 500 due to valuation and concentration concerns.
- Hank plans allocations to mid-cap, value, and international funds to reduce S&P concentration risk.
What Actually Sustains A Bubble
- Rob Arnott says two things sustain bubbles: implausible valuation models and marginal buyers who ignore valuations for narratives.
- Bubbles persist while buyers willing to pay more keep buying from willing sellers.
AI Narrative Drives Index Concentration
- The AI narrative centers on massive investments in data centers aimed at AGI breakthroughs and broad productivity gains.
- That narrative disproportionately boosts the largest tech stocks, concentrating index returns.