Dwain McFarland, an expert in grading running backs, discusses metrics he uses to evaluate RBs like rushing share, target share, and college performance. The podcast delves into specific players like Nick Chubb, D'Andre Swift, James Cook, and Jonathan Taylor, exploring their potential impact and fantasy potential. The importance of metrics like yards after contact and yards per carry for evaluating RBs is also emphasized.
Jonathan Taylor's elite rushing abilities make him a top-10 fantasy running back, even with limitations in the passing game.
Understanding a running back's role in different offensive scenarios is crucial for evaluating their value and potential production.
Deep dives
Metrics for Evaluating Running Backs
When evaluating running backs, several metrics can provide insights into their effectiveness. These include explosive rush rate, measuring the percentage of carries gaining 10+ yards; missed tackles forced per attempt, indicating a runner's ability to break tackles; PFF rushing grade, evaluating overall performance and decision-making; PFF receiving grade, reflecting how well a back performs as a receiver; and targets per route run and route participation, which help assess a back's involvement in the passing game.
Jonathan Taylor's Situation
Jonathan Taylor's situation presents a unique dynamic with a mobile quarterback in Carson Wentz. While Taylor hasn't been a target earner in the past, his elite rushing abilities make him a top-10 fantasy running back. With a run-heavy offense and a potential 65-70% rushing attempt share, Taylor can overcome the limitations in the passing game. Despite a lower target projection, his volume and efficiency as a rusher can lead to RB1 overall production.
Najee Harris and Two-Minute Offense
The situation with Najee Harris and Jalen Samuels mirrors the importance of a running back's role in the two-minute offense. Harris is expected to handle two-minute situations, while Samuels previously handled passing downs. This indicates that while Samuels may be the primary passing-down back, Harris has significant value, especially in scoring situations. Their roles highlight the importance of evaluating different scenarios within an offense.
Understanding Yards Per Carry
Yards per carry (YPC) can vary based on several factors like offensive line play and scheme, making it less reliable as a standalone metric. However, in specific situations with consistent offensive line play, the same scheme, and potentially an upgraded line, it can offer insights into a running back's ability to thrive in that system. Examining other related metrics like explosive rush rate, yards after contact, and missed tackles forced can provide a more comprehensive assessment.
Dwain McFarland tells Faraz Siddiqi what metrics he uses to grade running backs, highlighting Nick Chubb, D'Andre Swift, James Cook and Jonathan Taylor.
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