The Peking order: Can China’s army surpass the US?
Nov 14, 2024
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Avantika Chilkoti, a global business correspondent for The Economist, discusses the recent struggles in luxury e-commerce as post-pandemic consumer habits shift. She highlights the challenges major retailers face and MyTheresa's strategic plans for recovery. Anne Rowe, the obituaries editor, shares the poignant story of Balthazar Ushka, Ecuador's last ice miner, reflecting on his battle with modernity and climate change as he cherishes the ice of Chimborazo mountain, a symbol of his cultural heritage.
China's military modernization has significantly improved its naval and aerial capabilities, potentially allowing it to surpass the U.S. by 2027.
Despite advancements in technology, China's military faces considerable challenges in integration and real combat experience, crucial for effective operation.
Deep dives
China's Military Advancements
China has made significant strides in modernizing its military capabilities, particularly in the naval domain. The Chinese navy has become the largest in the world and is now producing high-quality warships that match or even exceed those of the United States in terms of design and combat capabilities. A notable metric is the vertical launch system cells, where the gap between the U.S. and Chinese fleets has shrunk dramatically from a ratio of over 200 to 1 in 2004 to nearly 2 to 1 recently, with projections indicating that China may surpass the U.S. by 2027. This shift signifies a transition from quantity to quality in China's naval approach.
Developments in Air Power
China's air power is also on the rise, exemplified by the introduction of the J-35A stealth fighter and advancements in missile technology. The PL-15 air-to-air missile is now comparable to NATO standards, while the PL-17 boasts one of the longest ranges in the world, capable of targeting assets well beyond frontlines. These developments mark a significant decrease in the technological gap that once existed between Chinese and Western military air capabilities. The rapid progress in jet engine production and missile technology has positioned China as a formidable competitor in aerial warfare.
Challenges in Military Integration and Experience
Despite notable advancements, China faces significant challenges in military integration and battlefield experience. Experts highlight the critical need for improved coordination between different branches of the military, such as the air force, army, and navy, which remains a work in progress. Additionally, logistics and the lack of recent combat experience raise questions about how well these advanced capabilities would perform in actual conflict scenarios. Such challenges emphasize that military effectiveness extends beyond mere technology and weaponry, requiring a well-integrated and experienced force to execute complex operations successfully.
China is enacting a rapid project of military modernisation. Though in some areas its forces are already stronger than America, that does not mean China is ready for war. Why luxury shoppers are no longer buying so much online (10:16). And remembering Balthazar Uscha, Ecuador’s last ice-miner (16:45).