Prof G Markets

Is Palantir Overvalued? Stock Drops 10% on Michael Burry’s Bearish Bet

312 snips
Nov 6, 2025
Gil Luria, Head of Technology Research at D.A. Davidson, dives into Palantir's recent stock tumble following Michael Burry's bearish bet, highlighting how its lofty valuation detaches price from performance. He discusses the risks inherent in shorting the stock despite its strong earnings growth. Liz Hoffman, business editor at Semafor, then analyzes Wall Street’s shifting response to Zoran Mamdani's NYC mayoral victory, tying it to broader anti-establishment sentiments and concerns from business leaders regarding the city's future.
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INSIGHT

Valuation, Not Earnings, Is Driving Palantir's Volatility

  • Palantir's stock trades at extreme multiples, making it highly sensitive to negative headlines.
  • Gil Luria argues valuation detachment, not fundamentals, drives its volatility.
INSIGHT

Strong Results Don't Cure Excessive Multiples

  • Palantir reported spectacular results: 63% revenue growth and ~50% operating margin.
  • Gil Luria says the business is strong but the extreme valuation still leaves the stock exposed.
ADVICE

Be Prepared To Hold Shorts For A Long Time

  • If you short richly valued companies like Palantir, be prepared for a potentially long, painful wait.
  • Gil Luria warns shorts must be patient because fundamentals may keep supporting the narrative for years.
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