What role could the UK play in ending the Ukraine war? – Politics Weekly
Feb 20, 2025
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Patrick Wintour, Diplomatic Editor for The Guardian, and Gaby Hinsliff, Guardian columnist, dive into the complexities of the Ukraine war. They discuss the implications of Donald Trump's negotiating approach and the exclusion of Ukraine from vital talks. The conversation explores the evolving U.S.-Russia dynamics and the necessity for the UK to bolster its defense. They also analyze the UK's potential role in peace efforts, including the financial and political implications of increased defense spending amid domestic challenges.
The exclusion of Ukraine from US-Russia talks highlights the need for a united European stance on regional security and military readiness.
Donald Trump's unpredictable diplomatic approach is raising concerns over Western alliances and the potential shifts in NATO unity regarding the Ukraine conflict.
Deep dives
A New Era in International Relations
The current geopolitical landscape indicates a significant shift, particularly regarding the war in Ukraine. Negotiations have reportedly been taking place without any direct involvement from Ukrainian representatives, raising concerns about their autonomy and the future of their territorial integrity. This new dynamic, influenced by prominent figures like Donald Trump, highlights a potential departure from traditional diplomatic protocols, where key European allies were left uninformed about critical discussions involving their security interests. The implications of such unilateral actions by the U.S. may lead to increased security responsibilities being shifted onto European nations, necessitating a re-evaluation of their military capabilities and defense spending.
European Response to American Withdrawal
Europe faces a critical challenge in light of the perceived withdrawal of U.S. military support, which is prompting calls for increased defense spending among EU countries. The context of rising tensions requires that European governments redefine their priorities, acknowledging that they may need to enhance their military readiness to avert the threat of potential conflicts. There is a growing recognition that the security framework established post-Cold War is under unprecedented strain, and countries like the UK are expected to assume a more proactive stance in regional defense efforts. This pivot signifies a substantial shift in how Europe approaches its security policy, necessitating collaborative efforts to ensure stability in the face of external aggression.
Trump's Unconventional Approach to Diplomacy
Donald Trump’s methods in approaching diplomatic relations exemplify a departure from established norms, particularly with his swift and often unpredictable decision-making style. His recent communications with Vladimir Putin have raised eyebrows, especially given the lack of prior consultation with key European allies, which not only jeopardizes established diplomatic protocols but also raises questions about the cohesion of Western alliances. Senior U.S. officials’ suggestions about Ukraine potentially conceding territory further complicate the situation, positioning Europe in a vulnerable spot as they grapple with the ramifications of these developments. The perception that Trump is aligning with Russian narratives fosters uncertainty and raises fears about the future of NATO unity and collective defense commitments.
Domestic Political Ramifications and Military Prioritization
The prospect of increased defense spending in the UK is being met with cautious optimism amid significant domestic political ramifications. Leaders like Keir Starmer are vocalizing support for military involvement, indicating a pivot towards a more robust defense posture in response to the changing global landscape. However, the challenge lies in balancing this commitment with pressing domestic issues, such as welfare and public services, amidst fears of budget cuts in these areas. As the government navigates these complexities, the potential for a shift in public sentiment towards defense and security could reshape political dynamics, prompting a reevaluation of priorities in light of the ongoing crisis in Ukraine.
Donald Trump’s plans to end the war in Ukraine have taken centre stage this week. But, with Ukraine excluded from US-Russia talks, could they really accept what might be on offer? And what role will the UK and Europe play?John Harris hears from diplomatic editor Patrick Wintour and columnist Gaby Hinsliff about what a resolution could look like Send your questions and feedback to politicsweeklyuk@theguardian.com. Help support our independent journalism at theguardian.com/politicspod
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