The Daily T With Starmer on the ropes, can Kemi land a knockout blow?
Jun 25, 2025
John Curtice, a renowned Professor of Politics at the University of Strathclyde and a polling expert, dives deep into the current political turmoil facing Labour. He discusses the potential fallout from controversial welfare reforms and the implications for leadership if the vote goes poorly. Expect insights into public sentiment regarding the NHS and social care, revealing a worrying decline in satisfaction since 2019. Curtice also highlights the unexpected drop in NHS productivity despite increasing budgets, raising critical questions about the government's effectiveness.
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Welfare Spending Reality
- Welfare spending is over £300 billion annually and continues increasing despite proposed cuts.
- The bill only reduces spending by £5 billion and mostly targets benefit recipients like the disabled.
Welfare Cuts Lack Moral Crusade
- The government's welfare cuts lack a clear moral or philosophical justification.
- Labour rebels oppose cuts partly because gov is raising defense while cutting welfare, lacking a moral crusade.
Labour Losing Working-Class Voters
- Many working-class voters are abandoning Labour for Reform UK due to broken promises.
- Labour is losing support among its traditional base because of undelivered manifesto commitments.