Air Street Press State of AI Compute Index v4 (June 2025)
Jun 30, 2025
Discover the latest trends in AI compute usage with updated insights from the State of AI Compute Index as of June 2025. Explore the dominance of NVIDIA and the rising influence of AMD and startups in the chip market. Learn about the most and least commonly used chips across various research topics, showcasing the evolving landscape of AI technology. Get a glimpse into how these shifts impact research practices and the future of AI development.
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AI Research Papers Peak in 2024
- 2024 saw a surge with nearly 49,000 AI papers citing specific chips, a 58% YoY rise.
- But 2025 forecasts show an 11% decline, hinting at delayed publications and reduced openness in frontier AI research.
NVIDIA Dominance with Shifting Shares
- NVIDIA dominates with chips cited in nearly 90% of AI papers in 2025 but this share is slipping.
- AMD grows fast due to MI300X, while Google TPUs slightly decline despite new versions.
Trends Shift Towards Inference and Fine-Tuning
- AI works using H100 and H200 clusters from late 2024 will publish only in late 2025.
- More researchers favor inference and fine-tuning over complete training due to GPU costs and open-weight model availability.