

Is the US-China Trade War About to Explode? (Connor Echols & Jake Werner)
Jun 14, 2025
Jake Werner, Director of the East Asia program at the Quincy Institute, dives into the turbulent waters of the US-China trade war. He highlights how Middle Eastern dynamics, particularly the Israel-Iran crisis, are influencing China's economic strategies. The discussion covers China's resilience and reluctance to back down, as well as the critical role of rare earth minerals in negotiations. Werner also contrasts Trump's impulsive foreign policy style with more structured approaches from his advisors, revealing complex layers of diplomacy and the prospects for economic collaboration.
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China's Middle East Stability Focus
- China prioritizes Middle East stability due to economic and political interests.
- Destabilization risks threaten oil flows crucial for China's economy and growth.
US-China Trade War Escalation
- The U.S.-China trade war escalated through tariff increases until both sides reached a high-tariff standoff.
- Recent negotiations rolled back tensions but underlying distrust remains high.
Rare Earth Minerals Leverage
- Rare earth minerals give China strong leverage in trade talks with the U.S.
- China can use this leverage responsibly to foster diplomacy or risk escalating tensions.