Episode 31: Branden Fitelson discusses reasoning fallacies

Branden Fitelson, an Associate Professor of Philosophy at Rutgers University, dives into the world of reasoning fallacies and probability. He uncovers common errors like the base rate fallacy, revealing how our evolutionary history may influence these misjudgments. Fitelson critiques inductive reasoning through tangible examples, such as the bank teller inference error. He also highlights the complexities of confirmation theory and the interplay between philosophy and experimental design in understanding probabilistic reasoning. A fascinating exploration of how our thinking often leads us astray!