Simply Bitcoin

Every Time Bitcoin Did This, a New All-Time High Came Next! | Truth Block

Oct 13, 2026
Bitcoin nears a pivotal $88,000 threshold with a perfect historical record of preceding new highs within 75 days. The discussion explores ETF flows, Strategy’s buying, missing retail demand, inflation fears, and whether the four-year cycle is changing. It also covers crisis risk, Bitcoin’s dual role as technology and monetary protection, and hardware-wallet security.
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INSIGHT

The Seven-for-Seven Bitcoin Recovery Signal

  • Bitcoin’s 50%-drawdown recovery to 30% below its former high has preceded a new all-time high within 75 days in seven historical cases.
  • This cycle places the trigger near $88,000 after Bitcoin fell to roughly $58,000, though the sample remains small.
INSIGHT

Why The Business Cycle May Extend Bitcoin’s Run

  • The episode argues that business-cycle recovery, not Bitcoin’s halving schedule, better explains historical parabolic tops.
  • Manufacturing has stayed in growth for nine months, challenging the view that the current cycle must end near the usual trendline.
ANECDOTE

Bitcoin’s Quarterly Reversal Meets Relentless Resistance

  • Tom Luongo interpreted Bitcoin’s quarterly chart as a bullish reversal after three declining quarters.
  • He also noticed repeated $2,500 daily swings around $85,000, suggesting intense resistance near $90,000 and above.
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