With ‘maximum pressure’ back on the table, what will Iran do next?
Feb 11, 2025
auto_awesome
Dorsa Jabbari, an Al Jazeera correspondent in Doha, offers keen insights into Iran's complex political landscape. She discusses how the anniversary of the Islamic revolution intersects with the country's weakened alliances amid rising tensions with Israel and the U.S. The conversation highlights Iran's nuclear ambitions, economic struggles due to U.S. sanctions, and the growing disillusionment among its youth. Jabbari emphasizes how these factors could reshape Iran's strategies and leadership responses in the coming year.
Iran grapples with a severe economic crisis as its currency's value plummets, deeply affecting citizens' livelihoods and access to necessities.
The reintroduction of international sanctions has not only stifled Iran's oil exports but also intensified the youth's disillusionment and desire for systemic change.
Deep dives
Iran's Economic Crisis
Iran is facing a severe economic crisis characterized by hyperinflation and currency devaluation, which have significantly impacted the average citizen's standard of living. The national currency has lost over 75% of its value against the U.S. dollar, leading to average monthly incomes dropping to as low as $130. Many Iranians are now struggling to afford basic necessities, with staple foods like meat becoming a luxury. This economic hardship forces families to juggle multiple jobs to make ends meet, which is not a sustainable long-term solution.
Impact of International Sanctions
The reintroduction of harsh international sanctions under the Trump administration has exacerbated Iran's economic woes and limited its opportunities for growth. Previous negotiations aimed at lifting sanctions following the 2015 nuclear deal have fallen through as the U.S. pulled out, leaving Iran in a vulnerable position. Consequently, Iran's oil exports, which once contributed significantly to the country's wealth, are severely restricted, leaving it blocked from potential trade allies. As the economy suffers, the Iranian government struggles to provide adequate support to its citizens amid these challenges.
Youth Perspectives and Future Aspirations
Young Iranians express a deep sense of disillusionment and desire for change as they grapple with limited opportunities in their country. Many feel trapped in a cycle of economic instability, prompting a noticeable brain drain, where skilled individuals leave Iran in search of a better future. Despite facing ongoing challenges, those who remain hope for government reforms that will lead to economic improvements. They yearn for the ability to thrive in their homeland without being forced to emigrate for a better quality of life.
Iran is facing a changed Middle East as it marks the anniversary of the Islamic revolution. With weakened allies and growing tensions with Israel and the United States, how will Iran’s leadership approach the year ahead?
In this episode:
Dorsa Jabbari (@DorsaJabbari), Al Jazeera Correspondent
Episode credits:
This episode was produced by Khaled Soltan and Chloe K. Li, with Amy Walters, Phillip Lanos, Spencer Cline, Hanah Shokeir, Melanie Marich, and our host, Kevin Hirten. It was edited by Noor Wazwaz.
Our sound designer is Alex Roldan. Our video editors are Hisham Abu Salah and Mohannad Al-Melhem. Alexandra Locke is The Take’s executive producer. Ney Alvarez is Al Jazeera’s head of audio.