

PDB Situation Report | March 1st, 2025: Will Gaza Erupt Again? Cease-Fire Nears Collapse & America’s Energy Security
4 snips Mar 1, 2025
Robert Greenway, a former Deputy Assistant to President Trump and national security expert, dives into the fragile Gaza cease-fire and the looming threat of renewed conflict. He discusses the implications for hostages and Israel's political landscape. Later, Daniel Turner, Executive Director of Power The Future, explores America's energy independence and its connection to national security, raising questions about the future of energy production and the complexities of U.S. policies amid global tensions.
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Hamas's Leverage
- Hamas has little leverage in the ceasefire negotiations, relying on corpses for trade.
- This aggravates tensions and makes a second phase unlikely, potentially leading to renewed conflict.
Unlikely Withdrawal
- Israel's demand for a full Hamas withdrawal from Gaza is unlikely given Hamas's recruitment and training of new fighters.
- The IDF would be hesitant to withdraw completely with Hamas still active.
Palestinian Support
- Palestinian civilian support for Hamas may not reflect genuine approval, but rather a lack of alternative governance.
- Introducing a credible alternative is crucial for long-term stability in the region.