

Military update. WEST still believes STALEMATE w/ Stanislav Krapivnik
16 snips Apr 2, 2025
Stanislav Krapivnik, a military expert with firsthand knowledge of the Ukraine conflict, delves into the complexities of the current military landscape. He critiques Western misconceptions about Russia's ambitions, emphasizing the significance of fortified defenses and urban warfare challenges. Krapivnik highlights the transformative use of drones in modern conflicts, the intricacies of Ukrainian counterattacks, and the heavy toll on local civilians. He also analyzes Germany's military rearmament and its growing influence in European geopolitics amid the ongoing crisis.
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Putin's Constraints
- Putin is limited by Russian law and public opinion, not a dictator acting on whims.
- He cannot simply cede territory already integrated into Russia via referenda.
Donbas as a Shield
- Donbas acts as a natural barrier, protecting the rest of Ukraine.
- This protection makes it difficult for armored vehicles due to its soft ground and fortified positions.
Drone Warfare Realities
- Drones provide pinpoint accuracy, but the majority are ineffective.
- Drone operators are vulnerable, and signals can be tracked and blocked.