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Irregular Warfare Podcast

Afghanistan Three Years Later: Alliances and Rivalries

Sep 6, 2024
The discussion highlights the evolving threat of the Islamic State Khorasan in Afghanistan, particularly after the U.S. withdrawal. Guests outline ISK's dual strategy of forming crucial alliances while also navigating rivalries. Insights on the impact of regional instability provide a deep dive into counterterrorism challenges. The implications of drone warfare and the complexities of 'over-the-horizon' operations are explored. Additionally, the importance of local media engagement in countering ISK narratives is emphasized.
55:54

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Quick takeaways

  • The emergence of the Islamic State Khorasan (ISK) reflects its ability to thrive amid the power vacuum created by the U.S. withdrawal.
  • ISK's two-pronged strategy of forming alliances and exploiting local rivalries has significantly expanded its operational capabilities in the region.

Deep dives

The Resilience and Rise of ISK

The emergence of the Islamic State Khorasan (ISK) in Afghanistan showcases its ability to thrive within a challenging operational environment. Despite the intense pressure from the Taliban and local Al-Qaeda factions, ISK quickly established itself as a formidable player in global terrorism, becoming one of the deadliest organizations worldwide. Factors contributing to its rise include the local historical context of jihadism, the exodus of seasoned militants due to military campaigns in the region, and the broader global jihadist movement following the declaration of the Islamic State's caliphate. By 2022, ISK had evolved to become the third deadliest terrorist group globally, demonstrating remarkable resilience and adaptability after the US withdrawal.

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