Over the last few weeks, lenders have aggressively cut fixed rates, particularly for investors that borrow on an interest only basis. Three and five year fixed rates now range between 3.18% and 3.40% p.a. This means the cost to hold an investment property is as low as it’s ever been.
This doesn’t mean we all should run out and buy an investment property.
The cost to hold a median property
The graph below charts the annual after-tax holding cost of a median value house (average of Melbourne & Sydney) expressed in today’s dollars. As you can see, a property’s after-tax holding costs have typically ranged between $10,000 and $30,000 per annum over the past 40 years.
The red line is the estimated annual after-tax holding costs based on current fixed rates.
A $800k apartment will cost $500 per month to hold
Let’s look at the cost to hold an $800,000 investment property (apartment) using actual data as an example.
Therefore, this property, for example will cost you circa $505 per month (after-tax) to hold.
Low rates will likely inflate property values
It is a commonly accepted economic principal that lower interest rates typically lead to an increase in asset values (i.e. the value of equities and property rise). The reason being is that the lower cost of debt means higher profits to owners which means assets are worth more.
The graph below charts three variables:
§ The rolling average capital growth rate over 20 years for median houses in Melbourne and Sydney; and
§ The cost to hold an investment property (as charted above). This is calculated as the annual after-tax holding cost of a median house based on prevailing interest rates at that time, expressed in today’s dollars; and
§ The average rolling 20 year growth rate between 2000 and end of 2019.
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