Bloomberg Surveillance

Trade Deal Lifts Market Sentiment

13 snips
May 9, 2025
Sarah Ponczek, a Portfolio Manager at UBS, shares her expertise on the recent trade deal with the UK and its positive impact on market sentiment. She discusses company paralysis and the ongoing US-China trade talks, highlighting investor reactions and the potential for tariff reductions. Ponczek also emphasizes the importance of careful stock selection and diversifying portfolios amid market volatility. As confidence grows, she reflects on the evolving landscape and emerging opportunities, especially in sectors sensitive to economic changes.
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INSIGHT

Volatility Is Normal For Investors

  • Market volatility is normal and long-term investors typically benefit despite short-term drawdowns.
  • Since 1998, in 70% of years with over 10% drawdowns, markets still ended higher 80% of the time.
ANECDOTE

Tariffs Paralyze Businesses

  • Clients in businesses reliant on China are struggling due to 145% tariffs, causing operational paralysis.
  • Many companies wait for trade deals to reduce tariffs to restore normal operations and supply chains.
ADVICE

Diversify Beyond US Stocks

  • Diversify portfolios by increasing exposure to international stocks, gold, bonds, and private markets.
  • Consider short duration bonds to reduce interest rate risk and include private equity or credit for smoother returns.
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