Uncapped with Jack Altman

Uncapped #8 | Josh Kopelman from First Round Capital

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May 1, 2025
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INSIGHT

The Venture Arrogance Score

  • The "Venture Arrogance Score" measures how much of the total market value a fund must capture to return its capital and profits.
  • Large funds require capturing an unrealistically high percentage of exits, challenging their sustainability in a competitive ecosystem.
INSIGHT

Returns Concentrate in Booms

  • Venture returns cluster in extreme boom periods, not throughout equilibrium.
  • Holding investments through frothy markets yields the majority of returns, rather than selling early at perceived peaks.
ADVICE

Hold Through Frothy Cycles

  • Resist the urge to exit companies too early during frothy market conditions.
  • Instead, use secondary opportunities to lock in partial returns while maintaining a long-term position.
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