The Memo by Howard Marks

What Really Matters?

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Nov 22, 2022
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ADVICE

Ignore Short-Term Events

  • Focus on long-term investments, not short-term predictions.
  • Most investors cannot predict short-term events, so ignore them.
INSIGHT

Security Prices and Expectations

  • Security prices are not solely determined by events, but by investor reactions to them.
  • These reactions depend on how events compare to expectations, making short-term prediction difficult.
ANECDOTE

Trading Sardines

  • Howard Marks tells a joke about "trading sardines" to illustrate a common misconception.
  • Many treat stocks as things to trade, not own, like betting on short-term price moves.
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