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TIP700: How to Invest during Fiscal Dominance w/ Lyn Alden
Feb 21, 2025
Lyn Alden, a macro analyst and author of 'Broken Money,' dives into the concept of fiscal dominance and its significant effect on financial markets. She explains why the S&P 500 thrives despite high interest rates and discusses the outlook for big tech. Alden also reveals how the U.S. will manage large fiscal deficits and shares three major investment trends to watch. With insights on navigating investment strategies in this unique economic landscape, she emphasizes the importance of adaptability and diversification for investors.
01:05:18
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Quick takeaways
- Fiscal dominance marks a shift in monetary dynamics, where government fiscal deficits significantly influence financial markets and investment strategies.
- The S&P 500's all-time highs demonstrate resilience despite higher interest rates, primarily driven by sustained government spending and liquidity conditions.
Deep dives
Understanding Fiscal Dominance
Fiscal dominance represents a paradigm shift in how money is created within an economy, primarily emerging when annual government fiscal deficits exceed the sum of new bank loan creation. This inversion from the previous monetary dominance era indicates that traditional central banking tools may lose effectiveness as central banks attempt to control inflation. In the past, money supply growth largely stemmed from bank lending fueled by household credit demands, while today, monetized fiscal deficits play a more significant role. The consequence is a structural change where investors need to recognize that expansive fiscal policies can maintain inflationary pressure and create a confusing environment where typical market reactions may not apply.
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Discover
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